Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 Osaka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
39%
2.51
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.52
Over 2.5
40%
2.38
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.06
No
56%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
21%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.8pp
29%
Draw
30%
-0.3pp
38%
Away Win
36%
+2.1pp
60%
Under 2.5
62%
-1.4pp
40%
Over 2.5
38%
+1.4pp
44%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS No
56%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Osaka EU Bookmakers 40%
+2% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -11%
1.15/0.84 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.98/1.03
-12% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.1 Crosses 17.9
1.1 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
0W-3D-1L
AWAY Osaka
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 6
0 Yellow Cards 2
19.10.2024 Osaka Osaka 3-2 HT 1-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
20.03.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-0 HT 0-0 Osaka Osaka JAP3
24.09.2023 Osaka Osaka 0-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
16.07.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-0 HT 0-0 Osaka Osaka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Giravanz Kitakyushu
1-0
AWAY Osaka
48% Ball Possession 52%
8 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
1 Corners 14
POST-MATCH Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Osaka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Giravanz Kitakyushu squeezed past Osaka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 32% / 29% / 38% — and on the day Giravanz Kitakyushu made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (56%) came in.

On the day, Giravanz Kitakyushu had 48% of the ball to Osaka's 52%, shots finished 8-18.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Osaka led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Giravanz Kitakyushu and 0.75 for Osaka.

What was the final score of Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Osaka?

Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-0 Osaka in the Japan - J3 League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Giravanz Kitakyushu vs Osaka?

Before kick-off our model rated an Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Giravanz Kitakyushu 32%, draw 29%, Osaka 38%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Osaka) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Osaka) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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