Osaka 3-2 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.12
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.56
Over 2.5
41%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
14%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
43%
-3.5pp
28%
Draw
29%
-0.8pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+4.3pp
59%
Under 2.5
60%
-1.3pp
41%
Over 2.5
40%
+1.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
+0.1pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osaka EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -7%
1.11/1.13 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.08/1.08
-25% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
278 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 288 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
27.0 Crosses 13.5
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Osaka
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 47%
16 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
20.03.2024 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-0 HT 0-0 Osaka Osaka JAP3
24.09.2023 Osaka Osaka 0-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
16.07.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-0 HT 0-0 Osaka Osaka JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osaka
3-2
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
60% Ball Possession 40%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 3
POST-MATCH Osaka vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Osaka squeezed past Giravanz Kitakyushu 3-2. Half-time: 1-0. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 32% — and on the day Osaka made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Osaka had 60% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 40%, shots finished 14-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.00 goals for Osaka and 0.00 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Osaka vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Osaka 3-2 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osaka vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Osaka win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Osaka 39%, draw 28%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 32%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Osaka) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Osaka) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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