Omiya Ardija 1-1 Imabari — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.25
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
30%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.7
No
48%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
8%
X/2
8%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
41%
+0.6pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
31%
Away Win
31%
-0.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
55%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS No
45%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Imabari EU Bookmakers 34%
+39% / +39% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +1%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.10
-26% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +18%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
377 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 266 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 17.0
0.0 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Omiya Ardija
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Imabari
4.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
42% Ball Possession 58%
13 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 8
3 Yellow Cards 3
27.04.2024 Imabari Imabari 1-4 HT 0-2 Omiya Ardija Omiya Ardija JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Omiya Ardija
1-1
AWAY Imabari
62% Ball Possession 38%
15 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
372 Passes 192
77% Pass Accuracy 67%
16 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Omiya Ardija vs Imabari
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija and Imabari couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Omiya Ardija at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Omiya Ardija had 62% of the ball to Imabari's 38%, shots finished 15-13.

What was the final score of Omiya Ardija vs Imabari?

Omiya Ardija 1-1 Imabari in the Japan - J3 League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Omiya Ardija vs Imabari?

Before kick-off our model rated a Omiya Ardija win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Omiya Ardija 42%, draw 28%, Imabari 31%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Omiya Ardija) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Omiya Ardija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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