Imabari 1-4 Omiya Ardija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
33%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.64
Over 2.5
41%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.9
No
55%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
9%
X/1
10%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
13%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
37%
-0.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+3.3pp
33%
Away Win
36%
-2.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
57%
+1.7pp
41%
Over 2.5
43%
-1.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.4pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Imabari EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Omiya Ardija EU Bookmakers 39%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +43% / +43%
1.23/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-6% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +51% / +20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
277 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 286 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Imabari
1-4
AWAY Omiya Ardija
58% Ball Possession 42%
19 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Imabari vs Omiya Ardija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Omiya Ardija ran out comfortable winners over Imabari 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 31% / 33%) promised a tight game; Omiya Ardija found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (59%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Imabari had 58% of the ball to Omiya Ardija's 42%, shots finished 19-13.

What was the final score of Imabari vs Omiya Ardija?

Imabari 1-4 Omiya Ardija in the Japan - J3 League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Imabari vs Omiya Ardija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Imabari win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Imabari 36%, draw 31%, Omiya Ardija 33%. The final score 1-4 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Imabari) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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