Parceiro Nagano 3-2 Giravanz Kitakyushu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒07:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
29%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
9%
2/2
12%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.0pp
29%
Away Win
30%
-1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-1.3pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+1.3pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+1.8pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu EU Bookmakers 34%
-5% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -12%
1.34/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.24
+3% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +5%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
251 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 231 · 64%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
2W-2D-0L
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 1
19.11.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 2-2 HT 2-1 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
24.06.2023 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 1-1 HT 1-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
28.08.2022 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-0 HT 0-0 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu JAP3
13.03.2022 Giravanz Kitakyushu Giravanz Kitakyushu 0-2 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
3-2
AWAY Giravanz Kitakyushu
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 15
6 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Giravanz Kitakyushu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano nicked a narrow win over Giravanz Kitakyushu 3-2. Half-time: 3-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Parceiro Nagano as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 43% of the ball to Giravanz Kitakyushu's 57%, shots finished 11-15.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Parceiro Nagano had the better of it with 2 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 0.75 for Giravanz Kitakyushu.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Parceiro Nagano 3-2 Giravanz Kitakyushu in the Japan - J3 League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Giravanz Kitakyushu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 42%, draw 29%, Giravanz Kitakyushu 29%. The final score 3-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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