Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 27 Apr 2024

📅27/04/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.99
Draw
28%
3.04
Away
47%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.56
Over 2.5
45%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.96
No
48%
1.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
47%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
17%
2/1
5%
2/2
25%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
30%
-5.2pp
28%
Draw
29%
-1.2pp
47%
Away Win
41%
+6.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
60%
-5.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
40%
+5.4pp
52%
BTTS Yes
47%
+5.1pp
48%
BTTS No
53%
-5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -7%
1.20/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.54/1.42
+0% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +17% / -17%
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
276 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 346 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
0W-3D-0L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
0 Yellow Cards 2
15.10.2023 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 2-2 HT 1-2 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
11.06.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-1 HT 1-1 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki JAP3
31.07.2022 Tegevajaro Miyazaki Tegevajaro Miyazaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Tegevajaro Miyazaki
1-1
AWAY Sagamihara
53% Ball Possession 47%
7 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Tegevajaro Miyazaki and Sagamihara shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sagamihara at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Tegevajaro Miyazaki had 53% of the ball to Sagamihara's 47%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Tegevajaro Miyazaki and 1.00 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagamihara?

Tegevajaro Miyazaki 1-1 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 27/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tegevajaro Miyazaki vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Tegevajaro Miyazaki 25%, draw 28%, Sagamihara 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sagamihara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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