Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Ryukyu — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 19 Oct 2024

📅19/10/2024 · 🕒09:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
33%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.76
No
47%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-1.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.3pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.9pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
+0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
-0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 34%
-1% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -10% / -7%
1.49/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.47
+11% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / -13%
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
285 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
17.0 Crosses 13.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Parceiro Nagano
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Ryukyu
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.67
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
14.04.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 4-3 HT 3-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
30.09.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-2 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
11.06.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-2 HT 1-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Parceiro Nagano
1-1
AWAY Ryukyu
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 12
1 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
POST-MATCH Parceiro Nagano vs Ryukyu
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Parceiro Nagano and Ryukyu shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Parceiro Nagano at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Parceiro Nagano had 44% of the ball to Ryukyu's 56%, shots finished 9-12.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Ryukyu led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Parceiro Nagano and 2.67 for Ryukyu.

What was the final score of Parceiro Nagano vs Ryukyu?

Parceiro Nagano 1-1 Ryukyu in the Japan - J3 League on 19/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Parceiro Nagano vs Ryukyu?

Before kick-off our model rated a Parceiro Nagano win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Parceiro Nagano 41%, draw 26%, Ryukyu 33%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Parceiro Nagano) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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