Ryukyu 4-3 Parceiro Nagano — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 14 Apr 2024

📅14/04/2024 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.38
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
35%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.75
No
51%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
16%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
39%
-3.5pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.4pp
35%
Away Win
34%
+1.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.4pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.4pp
49%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.6pp
51%
BTTS No
47%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Parceiro Nagano EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +8%
1.25/1.76 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.49/1.05
-4% / -32% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / +16%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
212 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 213 · 68%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 13.0
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
30.09.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-2 HT 0-0 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano JAP3
11.06.2023 Parceiro Nagano Parceiro Nagano 1-2 HT 1-1 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
4-3
AWAY Parceiro Nagano
42% Ball Possession 58%
12 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Parceiro Nagano
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu nicked a narrow win over Parceiro Nagano 4-3. Half-time: 3-0. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (35% / 30% / 35%) promised a tight game; Ryukyu found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Ryukyu had 42% of the ball to Parceiro Nagano's 58%, shots finished 12-16.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Ryukyu had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ryukyu and 1.50 for Parceiro Nagano.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Parceiro Nagano?

Ryukyu 4-3 Parceiro Nagano in the Japan - J3 League on 14/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Parceiro Nagano?

Before kick-off our model rated a Ryukyu win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 35%, draw 30%, Parceiro Nagano 35%. The final score 4-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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