Ryukyu 2-0 Sagamihara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
3.08
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
38%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.67
Over 2.5
45%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.88
No
52%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
13%
2/1
9%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
29%
+6.0pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.2pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-4.7pp
55%
Under 2.5
56%
-1.2pp
45%
Over 2.5
44%
+1.2pp
48%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.4pp
52%
BTTS No
51%
+1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ryukyu EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Sagamihara EU Bookmakers 48%
-8% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -2%
1.35/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/0.85
+10% / -25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +39%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
298 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 284 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
15.7 Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ryukyu
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Sagamihara
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
525 Passes 350
87% Pass Accuracy 82%
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 1
12.10.2024 Ryukyu Ryukyu 2-1 HT 0-1 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
17.03.2024 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
26.08.2023 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-4 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP3
28.05.2023 Sagamihara Sagamihara 0-0 HT 0-0 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP3
11.07.2021 Ryukyu Ryukyu 0-1 HT 0-0 Sagamihara Sagamihara JAP2
01.05.2021 Sagamihara Sagamihara 1-5 HT 1-3 Ryukyu Ryukyu JAP2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ryukyu
2-0
AWAY Sagamihara
50% Ball Possession 50%
8 Total Shots 14
2 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 5
279 Passes 280
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
20 Crosses 25
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Ryukyu vs Sagamihara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ryukyu saw off Sagamihara 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

Our pre-match split (35% / 27% / 39%) promised a tight game; Ryukyu found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Ryukyu had 50% of the ball to Sagamihara's 50%, shots finished 8-14.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Ryukyu and 1.17 for Sagamihara.

What was the final score of Ryukyu vs Sagamihara?

Ryukyu 2-0 Sagamihara in the Japan - J3 League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ryukyu vs Sagamihara?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sagamihara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Ryukyu 35%, draw 27%, Sagamihara 39%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Sagamihara) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sagamihara) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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