Ards FC 2-5 Harland & Wolff Welders — Result, Statistics & Match Review — North Ireland - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.67
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.15
Over 2.5
57%
1.64
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.55
No
47%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
4.09
2-3 Goals
42%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
2.89
6+ Goals
9%
8.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
34%
+0.4pp
23%
Draw
26%
-2.5pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
43%
+0.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
57%
-0.6pp
53%
BTTS Yes
60%
-7.1pp
47%
BTTS No
40%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ards FC EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders EU Bookmakers 43%
-10% / -25% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -22%
1.35/1.45 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.43/2.14
-19% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / -33%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
312 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 338 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ards FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Harland & Wolff Welders
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2025 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 0-1 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
30.11.2024 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 4-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
21.09.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 3-1 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
24.02.2024 Ards FC Ards FC 0-1 HT 0-0 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders KİRL1
18.11.2023 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 0-3 HT 0-3 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
12.11.2022 Harland & Wolff Welders Harland & Wolff Welders 2-5 HT 1-0 Ards FC Ards FC KİRL1
POST-MATCH Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Harland & Wolff Welders swept aside Ards FC 5-2 away from home. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Harland & Wolff Welders as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), and that read landed as well.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ards FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Ards FC and 1.33 for Harland & Wolff Welders.

What was the final score of Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Ards FC 2-5 Harland & Wolff Welders in the North Ireland - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ards FC vs Harland & Wolff Welders?

Before kick-off our model rated an Harland & Wolff Welders win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Ards FC 35%, draw 23%, Harland & Wolff Welders 42%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Harland & Wolff Welders) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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