Bodo/Glimt 3-0 HamKam — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
63%
1.18
Draw
22%
5.71
Away
15%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
2.16
No
44%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
19%
5.32
2-3 Goals
36%
2.03
4-5 Goals
32%
2.78
6+ Goals
13%
7.0
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 5.32 — our 19% vs market 14.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1.34
1/2
4%
35.0
1/X
4%
28.0
X/1
24%
3.73
X/2
6%
28.0
X/X
7%
9.68
2/1
6%
24.2
2/2
4%
26.0
2/X
11%
33.5
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Bodo/Glimt win — 63%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
80%
-16.2pp
22%
Draw
14%
+7.9pp
15%
Away Win
6%
+8.3pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+0.8pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-0.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
42%
+13.6pp
44%
BTTS No
58%
-13.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bodo/Glimt EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY HamKam EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +1%
2.38/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.75/2.04
+29% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -30% / +19%
62% Ball Possession 38%
18 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 3
466 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 227 · 70%
40.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.9
20.5 Crosses 18.4
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Bodo/Glimt
3W-2D-1L
AWAY HamKam
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
2.44 xG 0.94
74% Ball Possession 26%
21 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 5
634 Passes 150
90% Pass Accuracy 67%
52 Box Touches 17
34 Crosses 16
0 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
20.05.2024 HamKam HamKam 1-0 HT 1-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
03.09.2023 HamKam HamKam 4-4 HT 2-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOR
13.07.2023 HamKam HamKam 0-2 HT 0-0 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt NOK
11.06.2023 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 3-0 HT 0-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
20.08.2022 Bodo/Glimt Bodo/Glimt 2-2 HT 1-0 HamKam HamKam NOR
POST-MATCH Bodo/Glimt vs HamKam
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bodo/Glimt ran out comfortable winners over HamKam 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Bodo/Glimt as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (63%) landed while both teams to score (56%) missed.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Bodo/Glimt had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Bodo/Glimt and 1.17 for HamKam.

What was the final score of Bodo/Glimt vs HamKam?

Bodo/Glimt 3-0 HamKam in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bodo/Glimt vs HamKam?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bodo/Glimt win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Bodo/Glimt 63%, draw 22%, HamKam 15%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Bodo/Glimt), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Bodo/Glimt) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR More Norway - Eliteserien
5 Apr 2025
19:00 Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad Analysis →