Rosenborg 1-0 Fredrikstad — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - Eliteserien, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
53%
1.64
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
20%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.82
Over 2.5
47%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.26
2-3 Goals
41%
1.83
4-5 Goals
24%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
15.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
2.16
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
9%
14.95
X/1
15%
4.14
X/2
8%
10.1
X/X
13%
5.04
2/1
8%
24.2
2/2
8%
8.42
2/X
5%
16.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Rosenborg win — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.1pp
27%
Draw
24%
+2.6pp
21%
Away Win
19%
+1.4pp
53%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.8pp
47%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-1.9pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Rosenborg EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Fredrikstad EU Bookmakers 22%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / +4%
1.62/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.16/1.44
+7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +3% / +33%
54% Ball Possession 46%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
368 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 71%
28.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 25.0
20.0 Crosses 17.0
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Rosenborg
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.20 xG 1.26
58% Ball Possession 42%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
380 Passes 212
80% Pass Accuracy 68%
32 Box Touches 34
20 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
27.07.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 2-2 HT 2-1 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
02.06.2024 Rosenborg Rosenborg 1-1 HT 0-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
01.05.2024 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-0 HT 0-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOK
11.11.2012 Rosenborg Rosenborg 0-1 HT 0-1 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
13.04.2012 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad 1-2 HT 1-0 Rosenborg Rosenborg NOR
26.10.2011 Rosenborg Rosenborg 2-0 HT 2-0 Fredrikstad Fredrikstad NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Rosenborg
1-0
AWAY Fredrikstad
1.49 xG 1.24
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 6
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 6
358 Passes 214
82% Pass Accuracy 67%
37 Box Touches 14
20 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Rosenborg nicked a narrow win over Fredrikstad 1-0.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Rosenborg as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Rosenborg had 58% of the ball to Fredrikstad's 42%, shots finished 17-6, expected goals 1.49 to 1.24.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Rosenborg and 1.00 for Fredrikstad.

What was the final score of Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?

Rosenborg 1-0 Fredrikstad in the Norway - Eliteserien on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Rosenborg vs Fredrikstad?

Before kick-off our model rated a Rosenborg win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Rosenborg 53%, draw 27%, Fredrikstad 21%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Rosenborg), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Rosenborg) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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