Warta Poznan 0-1 Wisla Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒20:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-2 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
18%
4.71
Draw
20%
3.64
Away OUR CALL
62%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.78
Over 2.5
52%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.99
No
58%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
30%
2.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals
22%
3.73
6+ Goals
10%
16.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.88 — our 30% vs market 27.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
5%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
12%
2/1
4%
2/2
44%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Wisla Krakow win — 62%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
18%
Home Win
18%
-0.4pp
20%
Draw
24%
-4.2pp
62%
Away Win
58%
+4.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
52%
-3.9pp
52%
Over 2.5
48%
+3.9pp
42%
BTTS Yes
46%
-4.5pp
58%
BTTS No
54%
+4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Warta Poznan EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 62%
-37% / -37% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -4%
0.51/1.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.27
-48% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +28% / -40%
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
264 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 403 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 3.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Warta Poznan
4W-1D-0L
AWAY Wisla Krakow
1.20 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
1.06 xG 1.18
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
222 Passes 360
68% Pass Accuracy 78%
15 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 30
2 Yellow Cards 2
13.09.2024 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-1 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL1
21.05.2022 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-1 HT 0-1 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
06.12.2021 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 1-1 HT 0-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
17.04.2021 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 0-1 HT 0-0 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan POL
21.11.2020 Warta Poznan Warta Poznan 2-1 HT 0-1 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Warta Poznan
0-1
AWAY Wisla Krakow
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 11
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Krakow nicked a narrow win over Warta Poznan 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wisla Krakow as the likeliest winner at 62%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Warta Poznan had 43% of the ball to Wisla Krakow's 57%, shots finished 9-22.

For context: across their last 5 meetings in our records, Warta Poznan had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.20 goals for Warta Poznan and 0.40 for Wisla Krakow.

What was the final score of Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?

Warta Poznan 0-1 Wisla Krakow in the Poland - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Warta Poznan vs Wisla Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 62%, with the full match-result split Warta Poznan 18%, draw 20%, Wisla Krakow 62%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Krakow), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
5 Apr 2025
15:30 Wisla Plock vs Stal Stalowa Wola Analysis →
18:30 Odra Opole vs Polonia Warszawa Analysis →