Wisla Plock 2-1 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home OUR CALL
56%
1.49
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
20%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.97
Over 2.5
56%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
25%
3.21
6+ Goals
11%
11.4
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Wisla Plock win — 56%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
56%
Home Win
63%
-6.6pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.4pp
20%
Away Win
16%
+4.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
47%
-3.2pp
56%
Over 2.5
53%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.1pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wisla Plock EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 19%
-5% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.91/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.64/1.30
-2% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +33%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
344 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 194 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wisla Plock
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
14.09.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 1-3 HT 0-2 Wisla Plock Wisla Plock POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wisla Plock
2-1
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
59% Ball Possession 41%
9 Total Shots 7
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Wisla Plock vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Plock edged past Stal Stalowa Wola 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Wisla Plock as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.

On the day, Wisla Plock had 59% of the ball to Stal Stalowa Wola's 41%, shots finished 9-7.

What was the final score of Wisla Plock vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Wisla Plock 2-1 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 1st Division on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wisla Plock vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated a Wisla Plock win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Wisla Plock 56%, draw 24%, Stal Stalowa Wola 20%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Plock), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Plock) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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