Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 Santa Clara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

Vitoria Guimaraes
2-0 HT 1-0
Santa Clara
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-1 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Santa Clara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.04
Away
24%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
60%
1.45
Over 2.5
40%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2.08
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
18%
5.88
6+ Goals
7%
35.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
2.81
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
10%
15.45
X/1
20%
4.22
X/2
9%
7.88
X/X
11%
3.61
2/1
9%
34.0
2/2
10%
7.22
2/X
8%
16.85
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our call
Under 2.5 — 60% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
48%
-1.5pp
29%
Draw
29%
-0.1pp
24%
Away Win
23%
+1.6pp
60%
Under 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
40%
Over 2.5
35%
+5.0pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.6pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Vitoria Guimaraes v Santa Clara — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY Santa Clara EU Bookmakers 26%
+8% / +33% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -7%
1.51/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/1.23
+6% / +50% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +19%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 75%
22.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
23.2 Crosses 16.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 3.3

Vitoria Guimaraes vs Santa Clara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Santa Clara
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
0.79 xG 1.30
51% Ball Possession 49%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
320 Passes 312
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
12 Box Touches 21
15 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
10.11.2024 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0 HT 0-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
05.03.2023 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-3 HT 0-3 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
09.09.2022 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 HT 0-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
01.05.2022 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 1-1 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR
17.12.2021 Santa Clara Santa Clara 1-0 HT 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes POR
17.04.2021 Vitoria Guimaraes Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 HT 1-0 Santa Clara Santa Clara POR

Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 Santa Clara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Vitoria Guimaraes
2-0
AWAY Santa Clara
0.52 xG 1.23
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
366 Passes 335
83% Pass Accuracy 83%
15 Box Touches 22
19 Crosses 27
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Vitoria Guimaraes vs Santa Clara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Vitoria Guimaraes saw off Santa Clara 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (60%), no to both teams scoring (55%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 52% of the ball to Santa Clara's 48%, shots finished 9-15, expected goals 0.52 to 1.23 — on chances, Santa Clara could feel hard done by.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 0.67 for Santa Clara.

What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Santa Clara?

Vitoria Guimaraes 2-0 Santa Clara in the Portugal - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Santa Clara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 47%, draw 29%, Santa Clara 24%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
5 Apr 2025
20:00 Arouca vs Famalicao Analysis →