Santa Clara vs Vitoria Guimaraes Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Santa Clara v Vitoria Guimaraes — Team-Based Signals
Santa Clara vs Vitoria Guimaraes Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 0-3
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
1-0
HT 0-0
Santa Clara
POR
1-1
HT 1-0
Santa Clara
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Santa Clara
POR
0-4
HT 0-3
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
Santa Clara 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes — Actual Match Statistics
Santa Clara squeezed past Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match split (40% / 28% / 33%) promised a tight game; Santa Clara found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Santa Clara had 37% of the ball to Vitoria Guimaraes's 63%, shots finished 21-5, expected goals 3.25 to 0.53 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Santa Clara's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Santa Clara and 1.67 for Vitoria Guimaraes.
What was the final score of Santa Clara vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Santa Clara 1-0 Vitoria Guimaraes in the Portugal - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Santa Clara vs Vitoria Guimaraes?
Before kick-off our model rated a Santa Clara win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Santa Clara 40%, draw 28%, Vitoria Guimaraes 33%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Santa Clara), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.