Sporting Braga 2-4 Sporting CP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 10 Nov 2024

📅10/11/2024 · 🕒21:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.48
Draw
22%
3.94
Away
52%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.21
Over 2.5
53%
1.6
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.66
No
51%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
4.53
2-3 Goals
35%
1.9
4-5 Goals
26%
2.9
6+ Goals
13%
8.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.64
1/2 EV+ ✓
10%
20.9
1/X
5%
15.55
X/1
13%
10.65
X/2
21%
4.0
X/X
9%
6.05
2/1
5%
34.5
2/2
22%
2.0
2/X
7%
15.0
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.9 — our 10% vs market 2.4%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
20%
+6.5pp
22%
Draw
22%
-0.6pp
52%
Away Win
58%
-5.8pp
47%
Under 2.5
41%
+6.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
59%
-6.1pp
49%
BTTS Yes
56%
-7.4pp
51%
BTTS No
44%
+7.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting CP EU Bookmakers 62%
+5% / +10% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +5%
0.99/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.97/0.77
+32% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +2%
42% Ball Possession 58%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
251 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 394 · 82%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.6
16.5 Crosses 22.3
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sporting Braga
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sporting CP
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 3.17
0.66 xG 2.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
334 Passes 408
80% Pass Accuracy 84%
12 Box Touches 28
13 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 3
11.02.2024 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5-0 HT 2-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
23.01.2024 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-0 HT 0-0 Sporting CP Sporting CP PORLC
03.09.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
02.02.2023 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5-0 HT 1-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
19.12.2022 Sporting CP Sporting CP 5-0 HT 5-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga PORLC
07.08.2022 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 3-3 HT 2-2 Sporting CP Sporting CP POR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sporting Braga
2-4
AWAY Sporting CP
0.76 xG 0.85
29% Ball Possession 71%
3 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
0 Corners 5
189 Passes 541
73% Pass Accuracy 89%
8 Box Touches 20
5 Crosses 20
5 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Sporting Braga vs Sporting CP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting CP got the better of Sporting Braga 4-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Sporting CP as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 49%.

On the day, Sporting Braga had 29% of the ball to Sporting CP's 71%, shots finished 3-13, expected goals 0.76 to 0.85.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting CP led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Sporting Braga and 3.17 for Sporting CP.

What was the final score of Sporting Braga vs Sporting CP?

Sporting Braga 2-4 Sporting CP in the Portugal - Premier League on 10/11/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sporting Braga vs Sporting CP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting CP win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Sporting Braga 26%, draw 22%, Sporting CP 52%. The final score 2-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting CP), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Sporting CP) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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