Hougang United 1-0 Albirex Niigata S — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Singapore Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.09
Draw
23%
3.8
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
36%
Over 2.5
64%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
71%
1.28
No
29%
3.34
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
12%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
21%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
17%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
44%
-6.0pp
23%
Draw
23%
+0.6pp
39%
Away Win
33%
+5.5pp
71%
BTTS Yes
74%
-2.9pp
29%
BTTS No
26%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hougang United EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Albirex Niigata S EU Bookmakers 37%
+19% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -12%
1.80/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.07
+0% / +55% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -71% / +72%
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 4
366 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 330 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hougang United
2W-0D-4L
AWAY Albirex Niigata S
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
46% Ball Possession 54%
13 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 10
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.02.2025 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 1-2 HT 0-2 Hougang United Hougang United SİNK
29.10.2024 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 2-1 Hougang United Hougang United SİNP
23.07.2024 Hougang United Hougang United 1-0 HT 0-0 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S SİNP
18.05.2024 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 1-0 HT 1-0 Hougang United Hougang United SİNP
16.09.2023 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S 5-0 HT 3-0 Hougang United Hougang United SİNP
06.05.2023 Hougang United Hougang United 0-5 HT 0-3 Albirex Niigata S Albirex Niigata S SİNP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hougang United
1-0
AWAY Albirex Niigata S
43% Ball Possession 57%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Hougang United vs Albirex Niigata S
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hougang United squeezed past Albirex Niigata S 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (38% / 23% / 39%) promised a tight game; Hougang United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (64%), both teams to score (71%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hougang United had 43% of the ball to Albirex Niigata S's 57%, shots finished 9-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Albirex Niigata S led the recent series with 4 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Hougang United and 2.33 for Albirex Niigata S.

What was the final score of Hougang United vs Albirex Niigata S?

Hougang United 1-0 Albirex Niigata S in the Singapore Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hougang United vs Albirex Niigata S?

Before kick-off our model rated an Albirex Niigata S win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Hougang United 38%, draw 23%, Albirex Niigata S 39%. The final score 1-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Albirex Niigata S) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
SİNP More Singapore Premier League
5 Apr 2025
13:00 Balestier Khalsa vs Tanjong Pagar Analysis →