Jadran Dekani 1-2 Aluminij — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.75
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
46%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.78
Over 2.5
49%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.9
No
54%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
29%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
23%
+7.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.6pp
46%
Away Win
53%
-6.8pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.1pp
46%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.0pp
54%
BTTS No
51%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Jadran Dekani EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Aluminij EU Bookmakers 57%
+12% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.93/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.72/1.02
-12% / +76% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -17%
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
276 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 429 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Jadran Dekani
0W-1D-2L
AWAY Aluminij
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 8
4 Corners 7
4 Yellow Cards 2
21.09.2024 Aluminij Aluminij 1-1 HT 1-1 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
21.04.2023 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 0-2 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN2
07.10.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 4-1 HT 2-1 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Jadran Dekani
1-2
AWAY Aluminij
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Jadran Dekani vs Aluminij
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij edged past Jadran Dekani 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aluminij as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

On the day, Jadran Dekani had 52% of the ball to Aluminij's 48%, shots finished 9-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aluminij led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Jadran Dekani and 2.33 for Aluminij.

What was the final score of Jadran Dekani vs Aluminij?

Jadran Dekani 1-2 Aluminij in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Jadran Dekani vs Aluminij?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Jadran Dekani 30%, draw 23%, Aluminij 46%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aluminij) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aluminij) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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