Tolmin 0-2 Ilirija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 5 Apr 2025

Tolmin
0-2 HT 0-0
Ilirija
📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✗
Slovenia - 2.SNL – 2024/2025

Tolmin vs Ilirija Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.46
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.74
Over 2.5
32%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
39%
1.81
No
61%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
37%
+1.8pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.6pp
32%
Away Win
35%
-2.4pp
68%
Under 2.5
54%
+14.7pp
32%
Over 2.5
46%
-14.7pp
39%
BTTS Yes
51%
-12.0pp
61%
BTTS No
49%
+12.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Tolmin v Ilirija — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Tolmin EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Ilirija EU Bookmakers 38%
-12% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
0.74/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.63/1.41
-48% / -9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -2%
46% Ball Possession 54%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
311 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 366 · 80%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Tolmin vs Ilirija Head-to-Head — Last 2 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Tolmin
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Ilirija
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
58% Ball Possession 42%
6 Total Shots 7
1 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 0
2 Yellow Cards 0
The Meetings
21.09.2024 Ilirija Ilirija 1-0 HT 1-0 Tolmin Tolmin SLVN2
21.10.2023 Tolmin Tolmin 3-2 HT 2-2 Ilirija Ilirija SLVN2
POST-MATCH Tolmin vs Ilirija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Ilirija beat Tolmin 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (39% / 29% / 32%) promised a tight game; Ilirija found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (61%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Tolmin and 1.50 for Ilirija.

What was the final score of Tolmin vs Ilirija?

Tolmin 0-2 Ilirija in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Tolmin vs Ilirija?

Before kick-off our model rated a Tolmin win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Tolmin 39%, draw 29%, Ilirija 32%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Tolmin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Tolmin) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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