Aluminij 1-1 Jadran Dekani — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 4-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
24%
3.8
Away
24%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.97
Over 2.5
53%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
35%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
10%
2/1
11%
2/2
12%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
57%
-5.2pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.5pp
24%
Away Win
20%
+4.6pp
47%
Under 2.5
47%
-0.1pp
53%
Over 2.5
53%
+0.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-3.6pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+3.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aluminij EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Jadran Dekani EU Bookmakers 22%
+17% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +8%
1.58/0.79 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.81/1.30
-1% / +45% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +21%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
7 Corners 4
400 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 290 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aluminij
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Jadran Dekani
3.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
55% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 7
10 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 4
21.04.2023 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani 0-2 HT 0-1 Aluminij Aluminij SLVN2
07.10.2022 Aluminij Aluminij 4-1 HT 2-1 Jadran Dekani Jadran Dekani SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Aluminij
1-1
AWAY Jadran Dekani
56% Ball Possession 44%
16 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 2
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Aluminij vs Jadran Dekani
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aluminij and Jadran Dekani shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

Our pre-match lean was Aluminij at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Aluminij had 56% of the ball to Jadran Dekani's 44%, shots finished 16-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Aluminij had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 3.00 goals for Aluminij and 0.50 for Jadran Dekani.

What was the final score of Aluminij vs Jadran Dekani?

Aluminij 1-1 Jadran Dekani in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aluminij vs Jadran Dekani?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aluminij win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Aluminij 52%, draw 24%, Jadran Dekani 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Aluminij) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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