Gorica 1-0 Krka — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 21 Sep 2024

Gorica
1-0 HT 0-0
Krka
📅21/09/2024 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.3
Draw
26%
4.95
Away
24%
7.18
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.38
Over 2.5
55%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.9
No
47%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
7%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
72%
-22.0pp
26%
Draw
17%
+9.3pp
24%
Away Win
11%
+12.7pp
45%
Under 2.5
38%
+7.0pp
55%
Over 2.5
62%
-7.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
49%
+4.3pp
47%
BTTS No
51%
-4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gorica EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Krka EU Bookmakers 14%
-7% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +5%
2.01/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/1.36
+10% / +9% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -27% / +37%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
423 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 279 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gorica
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Krka
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
22.03.2024 Gorica Gorica 2-0 HT 1-0 Krka Krka SLVN2
08.09.2023 Krka Krka 1-2 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
27.03.2022 Krka Krka 2-2 HT 1-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN2
06.12.2015 Krka Krka 1-0 HT 0-0 Gorica Gorica SLVN
27.09.2015 Gorica Gorica 2-0 HT 0-0 Krka Krka SLVN
02.08.2015 Krka Krka 1-2 HT 1-1 Gorica Gorica SLVN
POST-MATCH Gorica vs Krka
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gorica edged past Krka 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gorica as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gorica had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Gorica and 0.83 for Krka.

What was the final score of Gorica vs Krka?

Gorica 1-0 Krka in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gorica vs Krka?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gorica win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Gorica 50%, draw 26%, Krka 24%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gorica) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gorica) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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