Triglav 3-1 Bistrica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovenia - 2.SNL, 21 Sep 2024

📅21/09/2024 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
1.8
Draw
27%
3.64
Away
30%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.66
No
52%
2.09
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
52%
-8.7pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.3pp
30%
Away Win
24%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.7pp
48%
BTTS Yes
56%
-8.3pp
52%
BTTS No
44%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triglav EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Bistrica EU Bookmakers 28%
+12% / +12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +12%
2.28/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.09
+49% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +50%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
326 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 341 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triglav
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Bistrica
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
8 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.03.2024 Bistrica Bistrica 1-3 HT 0-1 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
03.09.2023 Triglav Triglav 2-1 HT 1-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
29.04.2023 Triglav Triglav 2-3 HT 0-1 Bistrica Bistrica SLVN2
15.10.2022 Bistrica Bistrica 1-1 HT 0-0 Triglav Triglav SLVN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triglav
3-1
AWAY Bistrica
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Triglav vs Bistrica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triglav beat Bistrica 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Triglav as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Triglav had 53% of the ball to Bistrica's 47%, shots finished 13-8.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Triglav had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Triglav and 1.50 for Bistrica.

What was the final score of Triglav vs Bistrica?

Triglav 3-1 Bistrica in the Slovenia - 2.SNL on 21/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triglav vs Bistrica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triglav win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Triglav 43%, draw 27%, Bistrica 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triglav) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triglav) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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