Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al-Qadsiah v Al Ettifaq — Team-Based Signals
Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-3
HT 1-1
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
1-2
HT 1-1
Al Ettifaq
SUUD
3-2
HT 1-1
Al-Qadsiah
SUUD
2-0
HT 1-0
Al Ettifaq
SUUD
1-2
HT 1-1
Al Ettifaq
SUUD
Al-Qadsiah 1-1 Al Ettifaq — Actual Match Statistics
Al-Qadsiah and Al Ettifaq couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Al-Qadsiah at 56% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Al-Qadsiah had 55% of the ball to Al Ettifaq's 45%, shots finished 14-8, expected goals 1.41 to 0.70.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al-Qadsiah and 1.33 for Al Ettifaq.
What was the final score of Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq?
Al-Qadsiah 1-1 Al Ettifaq in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al-Qadsiah vs Al Ettifaq?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al-Qadsiah win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Al-Qadsiah 56%, draw 20%, Al Ettifaq 24%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.