Al Riyadh 0-0 Damac FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒17:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.27
Draw
31%
3.18
Away
29%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
58%
1.8
Over 2.5
42%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.75
No
53%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
32%
2.99
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals
21%
3.61
6+ Goals
8%
15.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.99 — our 32% vs market 26.8%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
6%
1/X
10%
X/1
12%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
14%
2/2
8%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Home Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.3pp
31%
Draw
28%
+2.7pp
29%
Away Win
32%
-3.1pp
58%
Under 2.5
52%
+6.5pp
42%
Over 2.5
48%
-6.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.7pp
53%
BTTS No
47%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Riyadh EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Damac FC EU Bookmakers 36%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +6% / +12%
0.93/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.60
-43% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -18% / +1%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
333 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 78%
16.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.1 Crosses 15.7
0.9 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Riyadh
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Damac FC
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.52 xG 1.97
40% Ball Possession 60%
5 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 6
2 Corners 8
242 Passes 384
77% Pass Accuracy 83%
10 Box Touches 28
14 Crosses 29
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.11.2024 Damac FC Damac FC 2-2 HT 1-1 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
28.12.2023 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh 1-0 HT 0-0 Damac FC Damac FC SUUD
17.08.2023 Damac FC Damac FC 2-2 HT 0-2 Al Riyadh Al Riyadh SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Riyadh
0-0
AWAY Damac FC
1.03 xG 0.48
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
392 Passes 383
88% Pass Accuracy 87%
16 Box Touches 17
30 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Al Riyadh vs Damac FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Riyadh and Damac FC played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 31% / 29% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Al Riyadh had 52% of the ball to Damac FC's 48%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.03 to 0.48.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Al Riyadh had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Al Riyadh and 1.33 for Damac FC.

What was the final score of Al Riyadh vs Damac FC?

Al Riyadh 0-0 Damac FC in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Riyadh vs Damac FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Al Riyadh 40%, draw 31%, Damac FC 29%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Riyadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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