Al Ahli Jeddah 2-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
1.9
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
35%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.59
Over 2.5
51%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes OUR CALL
53%
1.43
No
47%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
5.57
2-3 Goals
37%
2.02
4-5 Goals
26%
2.52
6+ Goals
10%
5.61
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
17%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
13%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
BTTS Yes — 53%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
48%
-9.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.3pp
35%
Away Win
28%
+6.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
35%
+14.1pp
51%
Over 2.5
65%
-14.1pp
53%
BTTS Yes
66%
-12.6pp
47%
BTTS No
34%
+12.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah EU Bookmakers 32%
+11% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +15%
1.70/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.37/1.66
-6% / +34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / +18%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
375 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 81%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.2
19.3 Crosses 15.5
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.91 xG 1.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
321 Passes 352
82% Pass Accuracy 83%
20 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
31.10.2024 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
01.04.2024 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-0 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
06.10.2023 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 0-1 HT 0-1 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
26.02.2022 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 3-4 HT 1-3 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
01.10.2021 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah 2-0 HT 0-0 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah SUUD
11.02.2021 Al Ahli Jeddah Al Ahli Jeddah 1-1 HT 1-0 Al Ittihad-Jeddah Al Ittihad-Jeddah SUUD
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Ahli Jeddah
2-2
AWAY Al Ittihad-Jeddah
1.23 xG 1.49
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 1
252 Passes 287
77% Pass Accuracy 78%
19 Box Touches 10
14 Crosses 4
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Ahli Jeddah and Al Ittihad-Jeddah shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 26% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, Al Ahli Jeddah had 47% of the ball to Al Ittihad-Jeddah's 53%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 1.23 to 1.49.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Ittihad-Jeddah led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Al Ahli Jeddah and 1.33 for Al Ittihad-Jeddah.

What was the final score of Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Al Ahli Jeddah 2-2 Al Ittihad-Jeddah in the Saudi Arabia Prosefyonel League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Ahli Jeddah vs Al Ittihad-Jeddah?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Ahli Jeddah win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Al Ahli Jeddah 39%, draw 26%, Al Ittihad-Jeddah 35%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Ahli Jeddah) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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