Kitara 4-0 Kampala City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.57
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
34%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
1.99
No
62%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
21%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
35%
+4.3pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.0pp
34%
Away Win
36%
-1.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+2.3pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-2.3pp
38%
BTTS Yes
46%
-8.3pp
62%
BTTS No
54%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kitara EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Kampala City EU Bookmakers 39%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -1%
0.77/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/0.92
-15% / -23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / -4%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
250 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 331 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kitara
0W-1D-1L
AWAY Kampala City
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 4
27.09.2024 Kampala City Kampala City 2-0 HT 2-0 Kitara Kitara UGA
06.08.2024 Kampala City Kampala City 3-3 HT 2-2 Kitara Kitara UGS8
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kitara
4-0
AWAY Kampala City
33% Ball Possession 67%
9 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kitara vs Kampala City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kitara cruised past Kampala City 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match split (39% / 26% / 34%) promised a tight game; Kitara found the edge the numbers couldn't. On goals, no to both teams scoring (62%) landed while under 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, Kitara had 33% of the ball to Kampala City's 67%, shots finished 9-7.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Kampala City led the recent series with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Kitara and 2.50 for Kampala City.

What was the final score of Kitara vs Kampala City?

Kitara 4-0 Kampala City in the Uganda - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kitara vs Kampala City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kitara win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Kitara 39%, draw 26%, Kampala City 34%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kitara), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Kitara) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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