Maroons 1-0 Express — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uganda - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.12
Draw
25%
3.11
Away
30%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.62
Over 2.5
45%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.95
No
55%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
18%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS No ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
43%
+1.4pp
25%
Draw
29%
-3.7pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.3pp
55%
Under 2.5
58%
-3.3pp
45%
Over 2.5
42%
+3.3pp
45%
BTTS Yes
47%
-2.3pp
55%
BTTS No
53%
+2.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maroons EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Express EU Bookmakers 32%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +19% / +19%
1.31/0.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.11/0.60
+23% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +60%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
284 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maroons
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Express
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
53% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 5
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 0
28.09.2024 Express Express 0-0 HT 0-0 Maroons Maroons UGA
28.03.2024 Maroons Maroons 2-0 HT 0-0 Express Express UGA
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maroons
1-0
AWAY Express
47% Ball Possession 53%
13 Total Shots 2
5 Shots on Target 0
2 Corners 3
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maroons vs Express
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maroons edged past Express 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Maroons as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (55%) came in.

On the day, Maroons had 47% of the ball to Express's 53%, shots finished 13-2.

Coming into the game, across their last 2 meetings in our records, Maroons had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Maroons and 0.00 for Express.

What was the final score of Maroons vs Express?

Maroons 1-0 Express in the Uganda - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maroons vs Express?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maroons win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Maroons 45%, draw 25%, Express 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maroons), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Maroons) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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