Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 LNZ Cherkasy — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Ukraine - Premier League, 5 Apr 2025

📅05/04/2025 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.32
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
42%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5 OUR CALL
61%
1.71
Over 2.5
39%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
1.88
No
57%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
9%
1/X
5%
X/1
8%
X/2
22%
X/X
13%
2/1
11%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our call
Under 2.5 — 61%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win Under 2.5 BTTS No — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
27%
+5.3pp
26%
Draw
27%
-0.8pp
42%
Away Win
46%
-4.5pp
61%
Under 2.5
55%
+6.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
45%
-6.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
49%
-5.9pp
57%
BTTS No
51%
+5.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chornomorets Odessa EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy EU Bookmakers 50%
-4% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.75/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/1.07
-28% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -8%
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
287 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 291 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.7 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chornomorets Odessa
1W-1D-1L
AWAY LNZ Cherkasy
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 10
2 Corners 5
28.09.2024 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 1-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
03.12.2023 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa 1-3 HT 0-0 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy UKR
30.07.2023 LNZ Cherkasy LNZ Cherkasy 0-2 HT 0-1 Chornomorets Odessa Chornomorets Odessa UKR
POST-MATCH Chornomorets Odessa vs LNZ Cherkasy
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chornomorets Odessa edged past LNZ Cherkasy 1-0.

Our pre-match lean was LNZ Cherkasy at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chornomorets Odessa and 1.33 for LNZ Cherkasy.

What was the final score of Chornomorets Odessa vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Chornomorets Odessa 1-0 LNZ Cherkasy in the Ukraine - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chornomorets Odessa vs LNZ Cherkasy?

Before kick-off our model rated an LNZ Cherkasy win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chornomorets Odessa 32%, draw 26%, LNZ Cherkasy 42%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (LNZ Cherkasy) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (LNZ Cherkasy) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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