Vorskla Poltava vs Zorya Luhansk Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vorskla Poltava v Zorya Luhansk — Team-Based Signals
Vorskla Poltava vs Zorya Luhansk Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Zorya Luhansk
UKR
2-3
HT 2-0
Zorya Luhansk
UKR
3-1
HT 2-0
Vorskla Poltava
UKR
1-0
HT 0-0
Vorskla Poltava
UKR
Vorskla Poltava 1-2 Zorya Luhansk — Actual Match Statistics
Zorya Luhansk edged past Vorskla Poltava 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Vorskla Poltava at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (60%) — went the other way, though.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Zorya Luhansk led the recent series with 6 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Vorskla Poltava and 2.00 for Zorya Luhansk.
What was the final score of Vorskla Poltava vs Zorya Luhansk?
Vorskla Poltava 1-2 Zorya Luhansk in the Ukraine - Premier League on 05/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vorskla Poltava vs Zorya Luhansk?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vorskla Poltava win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Vorskla Poltava 43%, draw 29%, Zorya Luhansk 28%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.