Burgos Promesas 2000 1-4 RC Deportivo Fabril — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
4.13
Draw
23%
3.72
Away
51%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.9
No
48%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
46%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
10%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
21%
+5.3pp
22%
Draw
24%
-1.2pp
51%
Away Win
55%
-4.1pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.6pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
49%
+3.2pp
48%
BTTS No
51%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000 EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril EU Bookmakers 60%
-5% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -9%
1.01/1.18 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.48/0.25
+9% / +4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -2% / +150%
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
250 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 372 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000
0W-0D-1L
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 3.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
5 Total Shots 23
2 Shots on Target 13
3 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 0
07.09.2025 RC Deportivo Fabril RC Deportivo Fabril 3-0 HT 2-0 Burgos Promesas 2000 İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Burgos Promesas 2000
1-4
AWAY RC Deportivo Fabril
41% Ball Possession 59%
8 Total Shots 18
6 Shots on Target 9
5 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Burgos Promesas 2000 vs RC Deportivo Fabril
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

RC Deportivo Fabril cruised past Burgos Promesas 2000 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had RC Deportivo Fabril as the likeliest winner at 51%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Burgos Promesas 2000 had 41% of the ball to RC Deportivo Fabril's 59%, shots finished 8-18.

What was the final score of Burgos Promesas 2000 vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Burgos Promesas 2000 1-4 RC Deportivo Fabril in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Burgos Promesas 2000 vs RC Deportivo Fabril?

Before kick-off our model rated an RC Deportivo Fabril win the most likely single outcome at about 51%, with the full match-result split Burgos Promesas 2000 26%, draw 22%, RC Deportivo Fabril 51%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (RC Deportivo Fabril) ✓ BTTS Yes
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