Quintanar del Rey 1-0 Fuenlabrada — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Spain - 2nd Division RFEF, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.09
Draw
27%
3.18
Away
30%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.62
Over 2.5
49%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.95
No
44%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
44%
-1.2pp
27%
Draw
28%
-1.3pp
30%
Away Win
28%
+2.5pp
51%
Under 2.5
58%
-6.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
42%
+6.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
47%
+8.9pp
44%
BTTS No
53%
-8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Quintanar del Rey EU Bookmakers 48%
Head to Head
AWAY Fuenlabrada EU Bookmakers 31%
-4% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -5% / -5%
1.00/0.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.12/1.70
-24% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +14% / -28%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
227 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 323 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.1 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Quintanar del Rey
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Fuenlabrada
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
47% Ball Possession 53%
6 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
07.12.2025 Fuenlabrada Fuenlabrada 2-1 HT 0-1 Quintanar del Rey Quintanar del Rey İS4
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Quintanar del Rey
1-0
AWAY Fuenlabrada
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 5
5 Shots on Target 1
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Quintanar del Rey vs Fuenlabrada
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Quintanar del Rey edged past Fuenlabrada 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Quintanar del Rey as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Quintanar del Rey had 39% of the ball to Fuenlabrada's 61%, shots finished 11-5.

What was the final score of Quintanar del Rey vs Fuenlabrada?

Quintanar del Rey 1-0 Fuenlabrada in the Spain - 2nd Division RFEF on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Quintanar del Rey vs Fuenlabrada?

Before kick-off our model rated a Quintanar del Rey win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Quintanar del Rey 43%, draw 27%, Fuenlabrada 30%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Quintanar del Rey), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Quintanar del Rey) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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