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Newcastle Jets (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newcastle Jets (K) v Melbourne City (K) — Team-Based Signals
Newcastle Jets (K) vs Melbourne City (K) Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
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2-0
HT 1-0
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Newcastle Jets (K)
AVUSTW
1-1
HT 0-1
Melbourne City (K)
AVUSTW
Newcastle Jets (K) 1-2 Melbourne City (K) — Actual Match Statistics
Melbourne City (K) squeezed past Newcastle Jets (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Melbourne City (K) as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (64%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Newcastle Jets (K) had 47% of the ball to Melbourne City (K)'s 53%, shots finished 12-18, expected goals 0.98 to 1.46.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Melbourne City (K) led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Newcastle Jets (K) and 2.00 for Melbourne City (K).
What was the final score of Newcastle Jets (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?
Newcastle Jets (K) 1-2 Melbourne City (K) in the Australia - W-League on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newcastle Jets (K) vs Melbourne City (K)?
Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Newcastle Jets (K) 24%, draw 20%, Melbourne City (K) 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melbourne City (K)), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.