Al Hamriyah 1-1 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒16:50 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.18
Draw
24%
3.28
Away
35%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.75
No
49%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
45%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
14%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
14%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
42%
-0.7pp
24%
Draw
27%
-3.2pp
34%
Away Win
31%
+3.9pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.2pp
51%
BTTS Yes
53%
-1.8pp
49%
BTTS No
47%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Hamriyah EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 34%
-10% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +4%
1.40/1.69 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.58
-5% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / -8%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
321 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 252 · 71%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Hamriyah
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Al Thaid
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
30.11.2025 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-2 HT 0-1 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
08.11.2025 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-0 HT 0-0 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
02.02.2025 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
19.01.2025 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 2-2 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
28.04.2024 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-3 HT 1-0 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah BAE2
17.12.2023 Al Hamriyah Al Hamriyah 1-2 HT 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Hamriyah
1-1
AWAY Al Thaid
46% Ball Possession 54%
11 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 1
0 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Hamriyah and Al Thaid couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Al Hamriyah at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Al Hamriyah had 46% of the ball to Al Thaid's 54%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Hamriyah and 1.17 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid?

Al Hamriyah 1-1 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Hamriyah vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Hamriyah win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Al Hamriyah 41%, draw 24%, Al Thaid 34%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Al Hamriyah) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Hamriyah) ✓ BTTS Yes
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