Al Urooba 4-2 Al Thaid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — UAE - 1st Division, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
71%
1.3
Draw
16%
4.95
Away
13%
7.37
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.18
Over 2.5
50%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.06
No
52%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
3%
1/X
8%
X/1
25%
X/2
5%
X/X
4%
2/1
11%
2/2
6%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
71%
Home Win
72%
-1.5pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.4pp
14%
Away Win
11%
+3.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
42%
+7.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
58%
-7.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
44%
+3.2pp
52%
BTTS No
56%
-3.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Urooba EU Bookmakers 77%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Thaid EU Bookmakers 14%
+2% / +2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -6%
1.81/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.84/1.94
-13% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / +9%
60% Ball Possession 40%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
440 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Urooba
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Al Thaid
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
60% Ball Possession 40%
10 Total Shots 9
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
15.03.2026 Al Urooba Al Urooba 2-1 HT 0-1 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
27.10.2025 Al Thaid Al Thaid 1-0 HT 0-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
16.03.2024 Al Urooba Al Urooba 1-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
28.10.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 0-1 HT 0-0 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
07.04.2023 Al Thaid Al Thaid 3-2 HT 2-2 Al Urooba Al Urooba BAE2
26.11.2022 Al Urooba Al Urooba 2-2 HT 0-0 Al Thaid Al Thaid BAE2
POST-MATCH Al Urooba vs Al Thaid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Urooba beat Al Thaid 4-2. Half-time: 3-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Al Urooba as the likeliest winner at 71%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Urooba had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Al Urooba and 1.17 for Al Thaid.

What was the final score of Al Urooba vs Al Thaid?

Al Urooba 4-2 Al Thaid in the UAE - 1st Division on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Urooba vs Al Thaid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Urooba win the most likely single outcome at about 71%, with the full match-result split Al Urooba 71%, draw 16%, Al Thaid 14%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Urooba) — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Al Urooba) ✗ BTTS No
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