Cuiaba vs Ceara Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Cuiaba v Ceara — Team-Based Signals
Cuiaba vs Ceara Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
Cuiaba
BR1
0-0
HT 0-0
Ceara
BR1
1-0
HT 0-0
Cuiaba
BR1
2-2
HT 1-0
Ceara
BR1
Cuiaba 0-2 Ceara — Actual Match Statistics
Ceara beat Cuiaba 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 29% / 34% — and on the day Ceara made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.
On the day, Cuiaba had 65% of the ball to Ceara's 35%, shots finished 14-7, expected goals 2.23 to 1.36 — the balance of chances actually favoured Cuiaba.
For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Ceara led the recent series with 1 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Cuiaba and 1.00 for Ceara.
What was the final score of Cuiaba vs Ceara?
Cuiaba 0-2 Ceara in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Cuiaba vs Ceara?
Before kick-off our model rated a Cuiaba win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Cuiaba 37%, draw 29%, Ceara 34%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cuiaba) went the other way.