Londrina vs Sport Recife Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our call is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Londrina v Sport Recife — Team-Based Signals
Londrina vs Sport Recife Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-0
HT 1-0
Londrina
BR2
1-2
HT 1-0
Sport Recife
BR2
2-1
HT 0-1
Sport Recife
BR2
2-0
HT 1-0
Londrina
BR2
1-2
HT 1-1
Sport Recife
BR2
3-2
HT 1-0
Londrina
BR2
Londrina 1-2 Sport Recife — Actual Match Statistics
Sport Recife squeezed past Londrina 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.
We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 29% / 31% — and on the day Sport Recife made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Londrina had 38% of the ball to Sport Recife's 62%, shots finished 13-16, expected goals 0.85 to 2.23 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Sport Recife's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sport Recife led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Londrina and 2.33 for Sport Recife.
What was the final score of Londrina vs Sport Recife?
Londrina 1-2 Sport Recife in the Brazil - Serie B on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Londrina vs Sport Recife?
Before kick-off our model rated a Londrina win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Londrina 40%, draw 29%, Sport Recife 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.