Daegu 3-3 Gimpo Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 5 Apr 2026

Daegu
3-3 HT 1-1
Gimpo Citizen
📅05/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-1 ✗
South Kore - K League Challenge – 2026

Daegu vs Gimpo Citizen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.12
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
31%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.71
Over 2.5
49%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.85
No
46%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
14%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
43%
-1.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.1pp
31%
Away Win
30%
+1.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
55%
-4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
50%
+3.8pp
46%
BTTS No
50%
-3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Daegu v Gimpo Citizen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Daegu EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Gimpo Citizen EU Bookmakers 33%
-11% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -10%
2.48/2.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.61/0.96
+71% / -58% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +40%
51% Ball Possession 49%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
342 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 314 · 77%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.6
31.6 Crosses 18.4
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.1

Daegu 3-3 Gimpo Citizen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Daegu
3-3
AWAY Gimpo Citizen
46% Ball Possession 54%
7 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 5
260 Passes 338
74% Pass Accuracy 82%
14 Crosses 23
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Daegu vs Gimpo Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Daegu and Gimpo Citizen shared the points in a 3-3 draw. Half-time: 1-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Daegu at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Daegu had 46% of the ball to Gimpo Citizen's 54%, shots finished 7-16.

What was the final score of Daegu vs Gimpo Citizen?

Daegu 3-3 Gimpo Citizen in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Daegu vs Gimpo Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Daegu win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Daegu 42%, draw 27%, Gimpo Citizen 31%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Daegu), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Daegu) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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