Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Paju Citizen v Gimhae City — Team-Based Signals
Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 1-2
Gimhae City
GK3L
0-1
HT 0-1
Paju Citizen
GK3L
Paju Citizen 3-1 Gimhae City — Actual Match Statistics
Paju Citizen beat Gimhae City 3-1. Half-time: 1-0.
As we said in the preview, our model had Paju Citizen as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, Paju Citizen had 44% of the ball to Gimhae City's 56%, shots finished 12-7.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimhae City led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Paju Citizen and 1.33 for Gimhae City.
What was the final score of Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
Paju Citizen 3-1 Gimhae City in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Paju Citizen vs Gimhae City?
Before kick-off our model rated a Paju Citizen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paju Citizen 46%, draw 23%, Gimhae City 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Paju Citizen) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.