Gimhae City 2-0 Paju Citizen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
55%
1.43
Draw
25%
3.94
Away
20%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.75
Over 2.5
47%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
2.19
No
46%
1.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
16%
X/2
4%
X/X
16%
2/1
10%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
55%
Home Win
65%
-10.0pp
25%
Draw
22%
+2.8pp
20%
Away Win
13%
+7.2pp
53%
Under 2.5
53%
-0.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
47%
+0.6pp
54%
BTTS Yes
42%
+12.5pp
46%
BTTS No
58%
-12.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gimhae City EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Paju Citizen EU Bookmakers 16%
-2% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
1.75/0.75 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.26/1.88
+4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -67% / -10%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
334 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 70%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gimhae City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Paju Citizen
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.04.2025 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-2 HT 0-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
28.07.2024 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-1 HT 0-0 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
13.04.2024 Gimhae City Gimhae City 1-0 HT 1-0 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
24.06.2023 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 1-2 HT 1-2 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
12.03.2023 Gimhae City Gimhae City 0-1 HT 0-1 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen GK3L
18.06.2022 Paju Citizen Paju Citizen 2-1 HT 1-1 Gimhae City Gimhae City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gimhae City saw off Paju Citizen 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Gimhae City as the likeliest winner at 55%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gimhae City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gimhae City and 1.00 for Paju Citizen.

What was the final score of Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen?

Gimhae City 2-0 Paju Citizen in the South Kore - K3 League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gimhae City vs Paju Citizen?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gimhae City win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Gimhae City 55%, draw 25%, Paju Citizen 20%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gimhae City), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gimhae City) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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