Pocheon 3-1 Busan Transportation — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒12:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
1.89
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
31%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.9
Over 2.5
49%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
53%
1.75
No
47%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
22%
X/2
9%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
14%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
49%
-4.2pp
25%
Draw
26%
-1.0pp
31%
Away Win
25%
+5.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
49%
+2.7pp
49%
Over 2.5
51%
-2.7pp
53%
BTTS Yes
53%
-0.2pp
47%
BTTS No
47%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pocheon EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Busan Transportation EU Bookmakers 29%
+3% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -1%
1.56/0.90 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.28/1.53
+4% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
372 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 329 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pocheon
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Busan Transportation
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
26.04.2025 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-1 HT 0-1 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
14.09.2024 Pocheon Pocheon 1-3 HT 1-2 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
18.05.2024 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-1 HT 0-1 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
16.09.2023 Pocheon Pocheon 2-1 HT 0-0 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
20.05.2023 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation 2-2 HT 0-2 Pocheon Pocheon GK3L
24.09.2022 Pocheon Pocheon 2-3 HT 1-1 Busan Transportation Busan Transportation GK3L
POST-MATCH Pocheon vs Busan Transportation
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pocheon got the better of Busan Transportation 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Pocheon as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Busan Transportation led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Pocheon and 2.17 for Busan Transportation.

What was the final score of Pocheon vs Busan Transportation?

Pocheon 3-1 Busan Transportation in the South Kore - K3 League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pocheon vs Busan Transportation?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pocheon win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Pocheon 45%, draw 25%, Busan Transportation 31%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pocheon), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Pocheon) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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