Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Changwon City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 23 Aug 2025

Ulsan Citizen
0-1 HT 0-1
Changwon City
📅23/08/2025 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 0-1 ✓
South Kore - K3 League – 2025

Ulsan Citizen vs Changwon City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
3.69
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
47%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.88
No
50%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
15%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
27%
+2.7pp
48%
Away Win
49%
-1.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.2pp
43%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Ulsan Citizen v Changwon City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ulsan Citizen EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Changwon City EU Bookmakers 53%
+4% / +3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +3%
0.81/1.01 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/0.92
-27% / +44% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / +19%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
291 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 416 · 82%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
– Yellow Cards –

Ulsan Citizen vs Changwon City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ulsan Citizen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Changwon City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
The Meetings
27.04.2025 Changwon City Changwon City 2-1 HT 0-1 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
07.09.2024 Changwon City Changwon City 1-0 HT 1-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
23.06.2023 Changwon City Changwon City 1-2 HT 1-2 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
11.03.2023 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 3-0 HT 1-0 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
17.09.2022 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen 0-2 HT 0-2 Changwon City Changwon City GK3L
11.06.2022 Changwon City Changwon City 0-0 HT 0-0 Ulsan Citizen Ulsan Citizen GK3L
POST-MATCH Ulsan Citizen vs Changwon City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Changwon City squeezed past Ulsan Citizen 1-0 away from home.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Changwon City as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Changwon City led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Ulsan Citizen and 1.00 for Changwon City.

What was the final score of Ulsan Citizen vs Changwon City?

Ulsan Citizen 0-1 Changwon City in the South Kore - K3 League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ulsan Citizen vs Changwon City?

Before kick-off our model rated an Changwon City win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Ulsan Citizen 23%, draw 30%, Changwon City 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Changwon City), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Changwon City) ✓ Under 2.5
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