Gyeongju HNP 2-1 Gangneung City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 23 Aug 2025

📅23/08/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.89
Draw
18%
3.45
Away
29%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.82
Over 2.5
44%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.76
No
58%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
16%
X/X
7%
2/1
9%
2/2
9%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
49%
+4.2pp
18%
Draw
26%
-8.1pp
29%
Away Win
25%
+3.9pp
56%
Under 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
44%
Over 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
53%
-10.4pp
58%
BTTS No
47%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 29%
-6% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -14%
1.22/0.92 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.94/1.27
-20% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +2%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
324 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 289 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gyeongju HNP
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Gangneung City
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
27.04.2025 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-3 HT 0-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
22.09.2024 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-2 HT 1-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
25.05.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
23.07.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
08.04.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
27.08.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-3 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
POST-MATCH Gyeongju HNP vs Gangneung City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP edged past Gangneung City 2-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gyeongju HNP as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Gyeongju HNP and 1.00 for Gangneung City.

What was the final score of Gyeongju HNP vs Gangneung City?

Gyeongju HNP 2-1 Gangneung City in the South Kore - K3 League on 23/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gyeongju HNP vs Gangneung City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Gyeongju HNP 53%, draw 18%, Gangneung City 29%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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