Gangneung City 1-3 Gyeongju HNP — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K3 League, 27 Apr 2025

📅27/04/2025 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
3.46
Draw
28%
3.35
Away
38%
1.96
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.71
Over 2.5
50%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.88
No
49%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
10%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
11%
X/X
14%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
26%
+7.8pp
28%
Draw
27%
+1.7pp
38%
Away Win
47%
-9.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
55%
-5.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
45%
+4.9pp
51%
BTTS Yes
49%
+2.1pp
49%
BTTS No
51%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gangneung City EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Gyeongju HNP EU Bookmakers 51%
-7% / -7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -11%
1.02/1.91 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.52/1.14
-10% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -9% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
270 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gangneung City
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Gyeongju HNP
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
22.09.2024 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-2 HT 1-0 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
25.05.2024 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 2-1 HT 1-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
23.07.2023 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-1 HT 1-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
08.04.2023 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 0-1 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
27.08.2022 Gangneung City Gangneung City 1-3 HT 0-1 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP GK3L
01.05.2022 Gyeongju HNP Gyeongju HNP 1-2 HT 0-0 Gangneung City Gangneung City GK3L
POST-MATCH Gangneung City vs Gyeongju HNP
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gyeongju HNP beat Gangneung City 3-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 34% / 28% / 38% — and on the day Gyeongju HNP made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Gyeongju HNP led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Gangneung City and 1.50 for Gyeongju HNP.

What was the final score of Gangneung City vs Gyeongju HNP?

Gangneung City 1-3 Gyeongju HNP in the South Kore - K3 League on 27/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gangneung City vs Gyeongju HNP?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gyeongju HNP win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Gangneung City 34%, draw 28%, Gyeongju HNP 38%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gyeongju HNP), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gyeongju HNP) ✓ BTTS Yes
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