Ansan Greeners 1-3 Asan Mugunghwa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.69
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
50%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.86
Over 2.5
46%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.07
2-3 Goals
38%
1.72
4-5 Goals
23%
3.4
6+ Goals
8%
13.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.07 — our 31% vs market 25.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
9%
X/2
17%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
24%
-0.4pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.6pp
50%
Away Win
51%
-0.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
50%
+4.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
50%
-4.1pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.6pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 55%
-6% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -4%
1.18/1.49 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.40/1.06
-16% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
361 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 353 · 79%
19.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.6
13.4 Crosses 17.0
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Ansan Greeners
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
52% Ball Possession 48%
9 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
368 Passes 354
81% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 1
08.10.2025 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-1 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
15.08.2025 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-2 HT 0-2 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
26.04.2025 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 3-0 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
14.09.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
21.07.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
10.04.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Ansan Greeners
1-3
AWAY Asan Mugunghwa
37% Ball Possession 63%
9 Total Shots 17
5 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 1
226 Passes 452
69% Pass Accuracy 83%
8 Crosses 28
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Ansan Greeners vs Asan Mugunghwa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa got the better of Ansan Greeners 3-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Asan Mugunghwa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Ansan Greeners had 37% of the ball to Asan Mugunghwa's 63%, shots finished 9-17.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Ansan Greeners and 1.50 for Asan Mugunghwa.

What was the final score of Ansan Greeners vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Ansan Greeners 1-3 Asan Mugunghwa in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Ansan Greeners vs Asan Mugunghwa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Ansan Greeners 23%, draw 26%, Asan Mugunghwa 50%. The final score 1-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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