Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 14 Sep 2024

📅14/09/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.64
Draw
22%
3.72
Away
26%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.8
Over 2.5
51%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.95
No
50%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.07
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
19%
3.81
6+ Goals
13%
16.55
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
30%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
11%
X/X
9%
2/1
9%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
57%
-4.5pp
22%
Draw
24%
-2.0pp
26%
Away Win
19%
+6.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
52%
-2.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
48%
+2.9pp
50%
BTTS Yes
47%
+3.1pp
50%
BTTS No
53%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 61%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 22%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
1.67/0.47 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.57
-24% / +52% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +2% / +8%
52% Ball Possession 48%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
317 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 74%
24.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.8
28.6 Crosses 12.1
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.76 xG 0.98
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 7
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
191 Passes 382
66% Pass Accuracy 81%
27 Box Touches 14
17 Crosses 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
21.07.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
10.04.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
19.08.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
25.06.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
04.03.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
22.08.2022 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 2-2 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
1-1
AWAY Ansan Greeners
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 0
349 Passes 394
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Crosses 4
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa and Ansan Greeners shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Asan Mugunghwa at 53%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 48% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 52%, shots finished 14-9.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 0.67 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners?

Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 14/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 53%, draw 22%, Ansan Greeners 26%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Over 2.5
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