Asan Mugunghwa 3-0 Ansan Greeners — Result, Statistics & Match Review — South Kore - K League Challenge, 26 Apr 2025

📅26/04/2025 · 🕒10:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.57
Draw
27%
3.72
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.75
Over 2.5
44%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.83
2-3 Goals
40%
1.74
4-5 Goals
19%
3.78
6+ Goals
9%
16.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.83 — our 32% vs market 28.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
19%
X/2
10%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
60%
-9.8pp
27%
Draw
24%
+3.4pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.4pp
56%
Under 2.5
53%
+3.0pp
44%
Over 2.5
47%
-3.0pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-1.5pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Asan Mugunghwa EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Ansan Greeners EU Bookmakers 20%
-19% / -19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -8%
2.23/0.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.90/1.75
-20% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -1%
56% Ball Possession 44%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 3
380 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 272 · 74%
23.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 13.1
27.6 Crosses 11.5
1.3 Yellow Cards 1.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Ansan Greeners
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 2
349 Passes 394
81% Pass Accuracy 82%
25 Crosses 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
14.09.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-1 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
21.07.2024 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 2-0 HT 0-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
10.04.2024 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
19.08.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 0-1 HT 0-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
25.06.2023 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa 1-0 HT 1-0 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners GKOR2
04.03.2023 Ansan Greeners Ansan Greeners 1-0 HT 1-0 Asan Mugunghwa Asan Mugunghwa GKOR2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Asan Mugunghwa
3-0
AWAY Ansan Greeners
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 5
303 Passes 258
76% Pass Accuracy 74%
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Asan Mugunghwa cruised past Ansan Greeners 3-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Asan Mugunghwa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. On goals, no to both teams scoring (57%) landed while under 2.5 goals (56%) missed.

On the day, Asan Mugunghwa had 50% of the ball to Ansan Greeners's 50%, shots finished 13-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Asan Mugunghwa had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Asan Mugunghwa and 0.50 for Ansan Greeners.

What was the final score of Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners?

Asan Mugunghwa 3-0 Ansan Greeners in the South Kore - K League Challenge on 26/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Asan Mugunghwa vs Ansan Greeners?

Before kick-off our model rated a Asan Mugunghwa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Asan Mugunghwa 50%, draw 27%, Ansan Greeners 23%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Asan Mugunghwa) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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