Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 Iwaki — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
25%
3.18
Away
43%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.64
Over 2.5
45%
2.15
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.9
No
50%
1.81
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2.46
2-3 Goals
42%
1.7
4-5 Goals
19%
4.23
6+ Goals
10%
22.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
8%
X/2
14%
X/X
12%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-1.7pp
25%
Draw
28%
-2.6pp
42%
Away Win
38%
+4.4pp
55%
Under 2.5
57%
-2.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
43%
+2.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
49%
+1.2pp
50%
BTTS No
51%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Iwaki EU Bookmakers 42%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+61% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
300 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
21.0 Crosses
0.0 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Iwaki
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
40% Ball Possession 60%
6 Total Shots 19
2 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 8
4 Yellow Cards 2
07.08.2022 Iwaki Iwaki 0-0 HT 0-0 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga JAP3
26.06.2022 Matsumoto Yamaga Matsumoto Yamaga 2-1 HT 1-1 Iwaki Iwaki JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Matsumoto Yamaga
2-2
AWAY Iwaki
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
129 Passes 140
52% Pass Accuracy 61%
16 Crosses 24
0 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Matsumoto Yamaga vs Iwaki
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Matsumoto Yamaga and Iwaki shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Iwaki at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Matsumoto Yamaga had 51% of the ball to Iwaki's 49%, shots finished 11-14.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Matsumoto Yamaga had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Matsumoto Yamaga and 0.50 for Iwaki.

What was the final score of Matsumoto Yamaga vs Iwaki?

Matsumoto Yamaga 2-2 Iwaki in the JAP2-3 on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Matsumoto Yamaga vs Iwaki?

Before kick-off our model rated an Iwaki win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Matsumoto Yamaga 32%, draw 25%, Iwaki 42%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Iwaki) ✗ Under 2.5
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