Kataller Toyama 5-2 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — JAP2-3, 5 Apr 2026

📅05/04/2026 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
59%
1.57
Draw
26%
3.94
Away
15%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.0
Over 2.5
50%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.81
No
48%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.5
2-3 Goals
42%
1.75
4-5 Goals
22%
3.09
6+ Goals
11%
10.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.5 — our 25% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
15%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
12%
2/2
5%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
59%
Home Win
59%
-0.1pp
26%
Draw
22%
+4.0pp
15%
Away Win
19%
-4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.2pp
52%
BTTS Yes
51%
+0.5pp
48%
BTTS No
49%
-0.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 22%
-20% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -39% / -39%
0.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.50/2.50
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -41% / -42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 5
327 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 14.0
Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
1W-2D-1L
AWAY Nara Club
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
339 Passes 277
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 2
08.09.2024 Nara Club Nara Club 0-0 HT 0-0 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
09.03.2024 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 1-1 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
12.11.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-2 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
22.07.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 1-2 HT 0-2 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
5-2
AWAY Nara Club
45% Ball Possession 55%
25 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
350 Passes 468
82% Pass Accuracy 86%
28 Crosses 17
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama swept aside Nara Club 5-2. Half-time: 3-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kataller Toyama as the likeliest winner at 59%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 45% of the ball to Nara Club's 55%, shots finished 25-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.00 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Nara Club?

Kataller Toyama 5-2 Nara Club in the JAP2-3 on 05/04/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kataller Toyama win the most likely single outcome at about 59%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 59%, draw 26%, Nara Club 15%. The final score 5-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kataller Toyama), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Kataller Toyama) ✓ BTTS Yes
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