Kataller Toyama 1-1 Nara Club — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Japan - J3 League, 9 Mar 2024

📅09/03/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.02
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
36%
3.34
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.56
Over 2.5
44%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.06
No
57%
1.68
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
16%
2/1
8%
2/2
21%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
46%
-10.0pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.4pp
36%
Away Win
26%
+9.6pp
56%
Under 2.5
60%
-4.7pp
44%
Over 2.5
40%
+4.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-2.0pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+2.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kataller Toyama EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Nara Club EU Bookmakers 30%
-2% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +45% / +45%
1.52/1.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/0.25
+10% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +26% / +150%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
379 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 322 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.3 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kataller Toyama
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Nara Club
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 6
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.11.2023 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama 0-2 HT 0-1 Nara Club Nara Club JAP3
22.07.2023 Nara Club Nara Club 1-2 HT 0-2 Kataller Toyama Kataller Toyama JAP3
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kataller Toyama
1-1
AWAY Nara Club
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 17
1 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kataller Toyama vs Nara Club
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kataller Toyama and Nara Club shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 28% / 36% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (56%) landed while no to both teams scoring (57%) missed.

On the day, Kataller Toyama had 51% of the ball to Nara Club's 49%, shots finished 13-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Kataller Toyama and 1.50 for Nara Club.

What was the final score of Kataller Toyama vs Nara Club?

Kataller Toyama 1-1 Nara Club in the Japan - J3 League on 09/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kataller Toyama vs Nara Club?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nara Club win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Kataller Toyama 35%, draw 28%, Nara Club 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Nara Club), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Nara Club) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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